Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.737550 14.557550 16.529485 18.822734 21.414301 24.250168 27.586523
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.951878 12.366580 15.191028 18.730705 23.039883 28.107023 34.508710
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.343913 10.941625 14.132758 18.326729 23.678017 30.260790 38.954705
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.295227 10.031951 13.542026 18.351360 24.744175 32.921546 44.143073
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.597460 9.452141 13.251934 18.647373 26.074028 35.894313 49.814030
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.973359 8.885879 12.896492 18.779504 27.137892 38.526696 55.147767
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.363275 8.263179 12.384570 18.615206 27.730444 40.498272 59.637922
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.941714 7.864465 12.141034 18.787945 28.776331 43.124274 65.163514
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.689172 7.689294 12.198445 19.387618 30.459380 46.733858 72.293897
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.272688 7.217004 11.761108 19.190039 30.910232 48.530539 76.811408
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.726940 6.485759 10.858452 18.189090 30.036134 48.251565 78.125026
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.545865 6.334891 10.860127 18.615524 31.415747 51.485870 85.024604
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.363367 6.171758 10.838092 19.015998 32.804090 54.854398 92.405011
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.086037 5.819736 10.473450 18.816690 33.190693 56.642019 97.347729
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.810061 5.443062 10.032884 18.445975 33.248084 57.870740 101.406512
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.623282 5.211322 9.824683 18.458951 33.952477 60.197090 107.408090
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.496899 5.080293 9.783561 18.760636 35.170473 63.444324 115.133925
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.356706 4.909894 9.656082 18.892158 36.085902 66.209459 122.159308
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.189138 4.670658 9.381184 18.727386 36.445957 68.010653 127.568647
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.078584 4.535277 9.291294 18.900953 37.432143 70.962195 135.165106
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.026853 4.515457 9.421967 19.504083 39.255003 75.508660 145.872603
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.887871 4.301133 9.153276 19.305364 39.531384 77.230635 151.464042
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.675521 3.911216 8.502726 18.298732 38.173087 75.832796 151.146747